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Kenya Β· Section 6 of 9

Agricultural finance

Commercial bank loans to agriculture rose from KSh 49.4 billion in 2010 to KSh 197.9 billion at the end of 2025, while agriculture's share of bank loans fell from 5.4% to 4.6%. The non-performing loan ratio for agriculture was 19.3% in 2025. Kenya had 89.5 million registered mobile money accounts in December 2025, while 12.6% of adults borrowed from a formal financial institution in 2024. The Agricultural Finance Corporation held a loan book of KSh 12.07 billion at 30 June 2025.

6.1

Size and trend of bank lending

Commercial banks' gross loans to agriculture grew from KSh 49.4 billion at the end of 2010 to KSh 197.9 billion at the end of 2025, about US$1.53 billion123. Agriculture's share of gross loans declined from 5.4% in 2010 to 3.3% in 2019 and 2021 and recovered to 4.4% in 2024 and 4.6% in 20251452. The sector held 127,031 loan accounts in December 20252. CBK described credit growth to agriculture as strong in September 2026, when bank lending to the private sector grew by 10.6%6.

In dollars the stock rose from US$612 million in 2010 to US$1.53 billion in 2025, with a dip in 2023 when the shilling weakened to 156.46 per dollar at the end of the year (own conversion)3. The KNBS Economic Survey publishes a wider series of bills, loans and advances of banks and non-bank institutions, which shows KSh 192.0 billion for agriculture in December 2025, 2.5% of a total that includes holdings of government securities7.

KSh 197.9 bn
bank loans to agriculture, December 2025 (β‰ˆUS$1.53 bn)2
4.6%
of gross bank loans in December 2025, against 5.4% in 20102
19.3%
non-performing loan ratio for agriculture in 2025, against 16.0% for all sectors2
32.4%
of adults borrowed from a mobile money provider (2024)8
Bank loans to agriculture
Gross loans of commercial banks to the agriculture sector, KSh billion, December 2010–2025
Source: CBK β€” CBK Bank Supervision Annual Reports, sectoral distribution of gross loans (end-December). The KNBS Economic Survey publishes a different series of bills, loans and advances of banks and non-bank financial institutions to agriculture (KSh 192.0 billion in December 2025), which is not combined with this one7.
Bank loans to agriculture in US dollars
Gross loans of commercial banks to agriculture converted at the IMF end-of-period rate, US$ million, December 2010–2025
Source: CBK Β· IMF β€” Own conversion of the shilling stock at the IMF end-of-period KES/USD rate (the Central Bank of Kenya rate). The rates used are 80.75 (2010), 85.07 (2011), 86.00 (2012), 86.31 (2013), 90.50 (2014), 102.31 (2015), 102.49 (2016), 103.23 (2017), 101.85 (2018), 101.34 (2019), 109.17 (2020), 113.14 (2021), 123.37 (2022), 156.46 (2023), 129.29 (2024) and 129.01 (2025). The fall in 2023 reflects the depreciation of the shilling to 156.46 per dollar at the end of the year, while the shilling stock rose by 15.2%.
Agriculture's share of bank loans
% of gross loans of commercial banks, December 2010–2025
Source: CBK Β· World Bank WDI β€” As published in each Bank Supervision Annual Report, except 2016, which is an own calculation (KSh 93,712 million of KSh 2,293,190 million, 4.09%) because the percentage column of the 2016 report repeats the 2015 values14. Agriculture produced 23.2% of GDP in 2025217.
KES/USD exchange rate, year-end
IMF end-of-period rate, KSh per US dollar, 2010–2025
Source: IMF β€” The shilling depreciated from 123.37 per dollar at the end of 2022 to 156.46 at the end of 2023 and recovered to 129.29 at the end of 2024. It stood at 129.45 at the end of August 2026.
Bank credit to agriculture, December 2025
IndicatorValue
Gross loans to agriculture (KSh million)197,895.5
Gross loans to agriculture (US$ million, own conversion at 129.01)1,534.0
Share of gross loans of commercial banks (%)4.6
Loan accounts in agriculture127,031
Gross non-performing loans in agriculture (KSh million)38,134.6
NPL ratio, agriculture (%, own calculation)19.3
NPL ratio, all sectors (%)16.0
Agriculture's share of gross NPLs (%)5.5
Agriculture's share of GDP, 2025 (%)23.2
Source: CBK Β· IMF Β· KNBS β€” CBK Bank Supervision Annual Report 2025, Table 18.
6.2

Loan quality

Gross non-performing loans in agriculture were KSh 38.1 billion in December 2025, 19.3% of the sector's loans, against an all-sector ratio of 16.0% (own calculation)2. The agricultural ratio rose from 9.6% in 2015 to 33.9% in 2018 and stayed between 17.5% and 22.1% in 2019–20251316520. Agriculture's share of all bad loans was 5.5% in 2025, close to its share of loans2. For the whole banking sector the ratio fell to 13.9% in September 2026, with decreases in agriculture among other sectors6.

Non-performing loan ratios
Gross NPLs as % of gross loans, agriculture and all sectors, December 2010–2025
Source: CBK β€” Agricultural ratios are own calculations from the sectoral tables of the Bank Supervision Annual Reports (gross NPLs divided by gross loans). All-sector ratios for 2015–2018 and 2023–2025 are the values published by CBK, including 9.2% for 2016 (revised to 9.3% in the 2017 report), 12.7% for 2018, 17.1% for 2024 and 16.0% for 2025, and own calculations for other years14151652. CBK reported an industry ratio of 13.9% in September 20266.
Agriculture's share of loans and of bad loans
% of gross loans and % of gross NPLs of commercial banks, December 2010–2025
Source: CBK β€” As published in the sectoral tables of the Bank Supervision Annual Reports. The 2016 loan share is an own calculation (4.09%) because the percentage column of the 2016 report repeats the 2015 values14.
Loans and non-performing loans in agriculture, 2015–2025
YearGross loans (KSh bn)Gross NPLs (KSh bn)NPL ratio agriculture (%)NPL ratio all sectors (%)Agriculture share of NPLs (%)
201587.58.49.66.85.7
201780.09.011.212.33.4
201890.030.533.912.79.6
201989.616.818.812.55.0
2020108.123.321.614.55.3
2021106.219.218.114.14.2
2022126.527.721.913.95.5
2023145.732.122.115.64.9
2024180.631.617.517.14.5
2025197.938.119.316.05.5
Source: CBK β€” Bank Supervision Annual Reports, sectoral tables. Agricultural NPL ratios are own calculations. All-sector ratios are the values published by CBK for 2015, 2017, 2018 and 2023–2025 and own calculations for other years. CBK classifies loans more than 90 days past due as substandard, doubtful or loss2.
6.3

Interest rates and the policy framework

The Central Bank of Kenya raised its policy rate from 7.00% in 2022 to 13.00% in February 2024 and then cut it in ten steps to 8.75% on 10 February 2026, where it stayed at the October 2026 meeting226. Average lending rates fell from 17.2% in November 2024 to 14.4% in September 20266. From September 2016 to November 2019 a statutory cap limited lending rates to four percentage points above the CBK benchmark rate4. Domestic credit to the private sector was 29.4% of GDP in 202523.

The Agricultural Finance Corporation, a government-owned lender mandated to lend for agricultural development, had a loan book of KSh 12.07 billion at 30 June 2025, about US$93.4 million (own conversion), up from KSh 10.56 billion a year earlier243. It disbursed KSh 4.75 billion and collected KSh 4.49 billion in FY2024/25, operated 47 branches in 35 counties and made a pre-tax profit of KSh 88.19 million24. The Auditor-General qualified its FY2024/25 accounts, citing KSh 1,024.2 million of non-performing medium-term loans and KSh 325.7 million of loans classified as active that should have been classified as non-performing24. The Government Owned Enterprises Act 2025 repealed the AFC Act from 5 December 2025 and lists AFC among the enterprises to be reconstituted as public limited companies25. Lenders can take security over movable property under the Movable Property Security Rights Act of 2017, and against warehouse receipts2627.

Agricultural Finance Corporation, FY2023/24 and FY2024/25
IndicatorFY2023/24FY2024/25
Loan book at 30 June (KSh billion)10.5612.07
Loan book at 30 June 2025 (US$ million, own conversion at 129.2343)–93.4
Loan disbursements (KSh billion)3.544.75
Loan collections (KSh billion)4.464.49
Total assets (KSh billion)12.5714.01
Pre-tax profit (KSh million)36.7588.19
Short-term loans at 30 June 2025 (KSh billion)–0.96
Medium-term loans at 30 June 2025 (KSh billion)–10.55
Directors' loans at 30 June 2025 (KSh billion)–0.06
Staff loans at 30 June 2025 (KSh billion)–0.5
Branches (counties)–47 (35)
Source: AFC Β· IMF β€” AFC Annual Report and Financial Statements for the year ended 30 June 2025, tabled in Parliament (pp. 8 and 24). The Auditor-General issued a qualified opinion. As stated in the audit report, net medium-term loans of KSh 10,641.7 million include KSh 1,024.2 million of non-performing loans (890 loans) and KSh 325.7 million of loans classified as active that should have been classified as non-performing, and KSh 226.3 million of short-term loans were past maturity for more than a year24. The Government Owned Enterprises Act 2025 repealed the AFC Act from 5 December 202525.
How a warehouse receipt loan works
Warehouse Receipt System, steps published by the Council
Deposit
Farmer or trader deposits grain or coffee in a certified warehouse27
Receipt
Warehouse issues a receipt recorded in the central registry28
Lender
70–80%of stored value (example)
lends up to a share of the value of the goods, one of 18 participating lenders, including AFC, KCB and Equity27
Repayment
Loan repaid and goods released or sold27
Source: WRSC
Central Bank Rate
Policy rate at the end of each year, %, 2010–2025
Source: CBK β€” Rate set at the last MPC decision of each year. CBK lowered the rate to 8.75% on 10 February 2026 and kept it there at the meetings of April, June, August and October 2026.
Average bank lending rate
Commercial bank lending rate, annual average, %, 2010–2024
Source: World Bank WDI Β· CBK β€” Interest rate caps of four percentage points above the CBK benchmark rate applied from September 2016 to November 20194. CBK reported an average lending rate of 14.4% in September 20266.
Domestic credit to the private sector
% of GDP, 2010–2025
Source: World Bank WDI β€” World Bank, based on IMF monetary statistics.
Central Bank Rate decisions, 2022–2026
DateCentral Bank Rate (%)
30 May 20227.50
29 Sep 20228.25
23 Nov 20228.75
29 Mar 20239.50
26 Jun 202310.50
5 Dec 202312.50
6 Feb 202413.00
6 Aug 202412.75
8 Oct 202412.00
5 Dec 202411.25
5 Feb 202510.75
8 Apr 202510.00
10 Jun 20259.75
12 Aug 20259.50
7 Oct 20259.25
9 Dec 20259.00
10 Feb 20268.75
7 Oct 2026 (retained)8.75
Source: CBK β€” Changes of the rate only, plus the latest meeting. The rate was 7.00% from April 2020 to May 2022.
Interest rates at the end of the year, 2021–2025
Rate (%)Dec 2021Dec 2022Dec 2023Dec 2024Dec 2025
Central Bank Rate7.008.7512.5011.259.00
91-day Treasury bill7.269.3315.7010.327.78
Interbank rate5.105.3911.6511.459.08
Commercial bank loans and advances (maximum)12.1612.6714.6316.8914.82
Average deposits6.507.1710.1010.457.13
Source: KNBS β€” Economic Survey 2026, Table 4.11 (source CBK).
6.4

Mobile money, inclusion and Saccos

Registered mobile money accounts rose from 16.4 million in December 2010 to 89.5 million in December 2025, and active agents to 473,53630. The 2024 FinAccess survey found 84.8% of adults with formal financial access and 9.9% excluded, and Global Findex shows 90.1% of adults with an account in 20243132. Formal borrowing is less common. In 2024, 12.6% of adults borrowed from a formal financial institution and 32.4% from a mobile money provider8. CBK has licensed digital credit providers since the 2021 amendment of the CBK Act3334.

In the 2024 FinAccess survey the primary source of day-to-day agricultural financing was reinvested income from farming (49.3%), and drought ranked as the leading challenge in agriculture (19.2%), followed by the high cost of inputs (17.3%) and pests and diseases (16.6%)31. Regulated Saccos held loans of KSh 948.3 billion in 20257.

Registered mobile money accounts
Million accounts in December, 2010–2025
Source: CBK β€” CBK mobile payments statistics, rounded to one decimal (16.4463 million in December 2010). Accounts can exceed the adult population because people hold accounts with several providers. There were 95.3 million accounts and 563,605 active agents in August 2026.
Formal financial inclusion
Adults with access to formal financial services, %, FinAccess surveys 2006–2024
Source: CBK β€” 2024 FinAccess Household Survey, Figure 2.1. 9.9% of adults were excluded in 2024.
Formal and mobile borrowing
Adults who borrowed in the past year, % of population aged 15+, Global Findex
Source: Global Findex β€” In 2024, 32.4% of adults borrowed from a mobile money provider and 90.1% held an account32.
Regulated Sacco societies
Assets and loans, KSh billion, 2021–2025
Source: KNBS Β· SASRA β€” Sacco societies regulated by SASRA, Economic Survey 2026, Table 4.14. Data on Sacco lending to agriculture are not published in this table.
Mobile money, December 2015–2025
YearActive agentsRegistered accounts (million)Agent cash-in and cash-out in December (KSh bn)
2015143,94628.6267.1
2018205,74547.7367.8
2020282,92966.0605.7
2022317,98373.1708.1
2024381,11682.4753.5
2025473,53689.5722.5
August 2026563,60595.3761.1
Source: CBK β€” CBK mobile payments statistics. Mobile money transactions totalled 2,718.0 million in 2025, worth KSh 8,236.5 billion7.
Financial inclusion and borrowing
IndicatorValueYear
Adults with formal financial access (FinAccess, %)84.82024
Adults financially excluded (FinAccess, %)9.92024
Account ownership, adults (Findex, %)90.12024
Borrowed from a formal financial institution (Findex, %)12.62024
Borrowed from a mobile money provider (Findex, %)32.42024
Agricultural day-to-day financing from reinvested farm income (FinAccess, %)49.32024
Adults relying mainly on agriculture for their livelihood (FinAccess, %)17.92024
Source: CBK Β· Global Findex β€” FinAccess and Findex use different samples and definitions.
Regulated Sacco societies, KSh million
Indicator20212022202320242025
Assets807,109890,300971,9551,076,1511,209,550
Loans and advances608,750680,351758,565845,113948,306
Deposits (BOSA and FOSA)564,887620,446682,186749,430831,910
Source: KNBS β€” Economic Survey 2026, Table 4.14 (source SASRA). 2025 provisional.
6.5

Insurance and risk finance

Insurers wrote gross premiums of KSh 464.7 billion in 2025, about 2.6% of GDP, of which KSh 229.3 billion in general insurance (own calculation)7. The Insurance Act (Cap. 487) establishes the Insurance Regulatory Authority36. Agricultural insurance premiums and claims are not shown separately in the official statistics that could be accessed in October 2026. The World Bank DRIVE project offers pastoralists a package of savings, insurance and digital accounts, and covered 1,520,550 pastoralists and dependents in Kenya by 10 October 202537. In 2018 Kenya also took a US$200 million contingent credit for disaster risks38.

Insurance industry gross premiums
Gross premium income of insurers, KSh billion, 2021–2025
Source: KNBS β€” Insurance Regulatory Authority data in Economic Survey 2026, Tables 4.16 and 4.17, direct business excluding reinsurance. Agricultural insurance premiums are not published separately in these tables. Total premiums equalled about 2.6% of GDP in 2025 (own calculation).
Agricultural risk finance instruments
InstrumentProviderStatus and figures
DRIVE, financial services package for pastoralists (savings, insurance, digital accounts)World Bank regional project P1765171,520,550 pastoralists and dependents covered in Kenya on 10 October 2025, against a target of 800,000, and 99% of payouts were made within 30 days (project-wide)
Catastrophe Deferred Drawdown OptionWorld Bank (P161562)US$200 million, approved June 2018, closed September 2021
Emergency locust responseWorld Bank regional programme P173702US$195.6 million for the region, approved May 2020
Agricultural insurance premiums and claimsInsurance Regulatory AuthorityNot available from an accessible official source in October 2026
Source: World Bank β€” The Kenya Livestock Insurance Programme and the area-yield index insurance under the Kenya Agricultural Insurance Programme are not listed with figures because no official programme document could be opened.
Sets the Central Bank Rate, which has been 8.75% since February 2026 and remained there at the meeting of 7 October 2026, and supervises banks, microfinance banks and digital credit providers22633. Its Bank Supervision Annual Reports publish lending and non-performing loans by sector, and it issued the 2021 climate risk guidance and the April 2025 Kenya Green Finance Taxonomy24041.
www.centralbank.go.ke
Government-owned, credit-only development finance institution that lends to farmers, cooperatives and agribusinesses42. It was established under the Agricultural Finance Corporation Act (Cap. 323), which the Government Owned Enterprises Act 2025 repealed from 5 December 2025, listing AFC among the enterprises to be reconstituted as public limited companies4325. AFC had 47 branches in 35 counties and a loan book of KSh 12.07 billion at 30 June 2025, about US$93.4 million, after disbursements of KSh 4.75 billion in FY2024/25243. The Auditor-General qualified the FY2024/25 accounts, noting among other matters KSh 325.7 million of loans classified as active that should have been classified as non-performing24. AFC is listed as an active lender against warehouse receipts27.
www.agrifinance.org
Licenses and supervises deposit-taking Saccos under the Sacco Societies Act 2008 (Cap. 490B)3544. Regulated Saccos held assets of KSh 1,209.6 billion and loans of KSh 948.3 billion in 20257.
www.sasra.go.ke
Regulator of insurance business established by section 3 of the Insurance Act (Cap. 487)36. Insurers wrote gross premiums of KSh 464.7 billion in 2025 (own calculation), and the published statistics do not show agricultural insurance separately7.
www.ira.go.ke
Commercial bank accredited as a direct access entity of the Green Climate Fund45. In March 2026 the GCF approved US$43.6 million through KCB for climate-smart finance to MSMEs and farmers (FP292)46. KCB lends against warehouse receipts27.
ke.kcbgroup.com
Commercial banks listed as active lenders under the warehouse receipt system27. Their lending to agriculture is not reported separately in the sources used for this profile.
equitygroupholdings.com/ke
Operates a green bond market segment, opened in 2020, on which Acorn Holdings listed a five-year green bond issued in October 201947.
www.nse.co.ke

Sources cited on this page

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  2. Bank Supervision Annual Report 2025 (PDF) β€” Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)verified
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  22. Central Bank Rate, history of MPC decisions (web page) β€” Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)verified
  23. World Development Indicators – Domestic credit to private sector (% of GDP), FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS (API, JSON) β€” World Bankverified
  24. Annual Reports and Financial Statements for the year ended 30 June 2025, with the Report of the Auditor-General (PDF, Parliament of Kenya library) β€” Agricultural Finance Corporation (AFC), tabled in Parliamentverified
  25. Government Owned Enterprises Act, No. 25 of 2025 (Kenya Law web page) β€” National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law)verified
  26. Movable Property Security Rights Act, No. 13 of 2017 (PDF on brs.go.ke) β€” National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law), hosted by the Business Registration Serviceverified
  27. Warehouse receipt financing (web page) β€” Warehouse Receipt System Council (WRSC)verified
  28. About us (web page) β€” Warehouse Receipt System Council (WRSC)verified
  29. World Development Indicators – Lending interest rate (%), FR.INR.LEND (API, JSON) β€” World Bankverified
  30. Mobile payments statistics, monthly table (web page) β€” Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)verified
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  32. Global Findex: Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider (% of population ages 15+), FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS, World Bank API (Findex 2025 database) β€” World Bankverified
  33. Central Bank of Kenya Act, Cap. 491, consolidated text as at 4 November 2025 (PDF on centralbank.go.ke) β€” National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law), hosted by CBKverified
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  35. Who we are (web page) β€” Sacco Societies Regulatory Authority (SASRA)verified
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  37. DRIVE (P176517) Implementation Status and Results Report, sequence 5, archived 9 February 2026 (text) β€” World Bankverified
  38. Disaster Risk Management Development Policy Credit with a Catastrophe Deferred Drawdown Option (Cat DDO), P161562, project page β€” World Bankverified
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  41. Kenya Green Finance Taxonomy, April 2025 (PDF in ZIP, main document and eleven sector appendices) β€” Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)verified
  42. Corporate profile (web page) β€” Agricultural Finance Corporation (AFC)verified
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  45. Kenya country page (web page) β€” Green Climate Fundverified
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  47. Green Bonds (web page) β€” Nairobi Securities Exchange PLCverified
β“˜
AI-assisted content, human-reviewed: This page was generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by a human editor. (last review: October 2026) Despite review, errors or outdated values may remain; please verify critical figures against the linked primary sources before relying on them. Nothing here is investment, legal or financial advice.

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