Ukubwa na mwenendo wa mikopo ya benki
Jumla ya mikopo ya benki za biashara kwa sekta ya kilimo iliongezeka kutoka shilingi bilioni 49.4 mwishoni mwa mwaka 2010 hadi shilingi bilioni 197.9 mwishoni mwa mwaka 2025, takriban dola za Marekani bilioni 1.53123. Sehemu ya kilimo katika jumla ya mikopo ilishuka kutoka asilimia 5.4 mwaka 2010 hadi asilimia 3.3 mwaka 2019 na 2021, kisha ikaongezeka tena hadi asilimia 4.4 mwaka 2024 na asilimia 4.6 mwaka 20251452. Sekta hii ilikuwa na akaunti 127,031 za mikopo mwezi Desemba 20252. Mwezi Septemba 2026 CBK ilieleza kuwa ukuaji wa mikopo kwa sekta ya kilimo ulikuwa imara, wakati mikopo ya benki kwa sekta binafsi ilikua kwa asilimia 10.66.
Kwa dola, salio la mikopo liliongezeka kutoka dola za Marekani milioni 612 mwaka 2010 hadi dola za Marekani bilioni 1.53 mwaka 2025, likipungua kwa muda mwaka 2023 wakati thamani ya shilingi iliposhuka hadi shilingi 156.46 kwa dola mwishoni mwa mwaka (ubadilishaji wetu)3. Economic Survey ya KNBS huchapisha mfululizo mpana zaidi wa hati za madeni, mikopo na malipo ya awali (bills, loans and advances) ya benki na taasisi zisizo za kibenki, unaoonyesha shilingi bilioni 192.0 kwa kilimo mwezi Desemba 2025, yaani asilimia 2.5 ya jumla inayojumuisha dhamana za Serikali zinazoshikiliwa na taasisi hizo7.
| Kiashiria | Thamani |
|---|---|
| Jumla ya mikopo kwa kilimo (KSh milioni) | 197,895.5 |
| Jumla ya mikopo kwa kilimo (US$ milioni, ubadilishaji wetu kwa kiwango cha 129.01) | 1,534.0 |
| Sehemu ya jumla ya mikopo ya benki za biashara (%) | 4.6 |
| Akaunti za mikopo katika kilimo | 127,031 |
| Jumla ya mikopo chechefu katika kilimo (KSh milioni) | 38,134.6 |
| Uwiano wa mikopo chechefu, kilimo (%, ukokotoaji wetu) | 19.3 |
| Uwiano wa mikopo chechefu, sekta zote (%) | 16.0 |
| Sehemu ya kilimo katika jumla ya mikopo chechefu (%) | 5.5 |
| Sehemu ya kilimo katika Pato la Taifa, 2025 (%) | 23.2 |
Ubora wa mikopo
Jumla ya mikopo chechefu katika kilimo ilikuwa shilingi bilioni 38.1 mwezi Desemba 2025, sawa na asilimia 19.3 ya mikopo ya sekta hiyo, ikilinganishwa na uwiano wa asilimia 16.0 kwa sekta zote (ukokotoaji wetu)2. Uwiano wa kilimo uliongezeka kutoka asilimia 9.6 mwaka 2015 hadi asilimia 33.9 mwaka 2018 na ulibaki kati ya asilimia 17.5 na asilimia 22.1 katika kipindi cha 2019β20251316520. Sehemu ya kilimo katika jumla ya mikopo chechefu ilikuwa asilimia 5.5 mwaka 2025, karibu sawa na sehemu yake katika mikopo2. Kwa sekta nzima ya benki uwiano huo ulishuka hadi asilimia 13.9 mwezi Septemba 2026, ukipungua katika kilimo miongoni mwa sekta nyingine6.
| Mwaka | Jumla ya mikopo (KSh bilioni) | Jumla ya mikopo chechefu (KSh bilioni) | Uwiano wa mikopo chechefu, kilimo (%) | Uwiano wa mikopo chechefu, sekta zote (%) | Sehemu ya kilimo katika mikopo chechefu (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 87.5 | 8.4 | 9.6 | 6.8 | 5.7 |
| 2017 | 80.0 | 9.0 | 11.2 | 12.3 | 3.4 |
| 2018 | 90.0 | 30.5 | 33.9 | 12.7 | 9.6 |
| 2019 | 89.6 | 16.8 | 18.8 | 12.5 | 5.0 |
| 2020 | 108.1 | 23.3 | 21.6 | 14.5 | 5.3 |
| 2021 | 106.2 | 19.2 | 18.1 | 14.1 | 4.2 |
| 2022 | 126.5 | 27.7 | 21.9 | 13.9 | 5.5 |
| 2023 | 145.7 | 32.1 | 22.1 | 15.6 | 4.9 |
| 2024 | 180.6 | 31.6 | 17.5 | 17.1 | 4.5 |
| 2025 | 197.9 | 38.1 | 19.3 | 16.0 | 5.5 |
Riba na mfumo wa sera
Banki Kuu ya Kenya ilipandisha riba yake ya sera kutoka asilimia 7.00 mwaka 2022 hadi asilimia 13.00 mwezi Februari 2024, kisha ikaipunguza kwa hatua kumi hadi asilimia 8.75 tarehe 10 Februari 2026, kiwango ambacho kilibaki bila kubadilika katika kikao cha Oktoba 2026226. Wastani wa riba za mikopo ulishuka kutoka asilimia 17.2 mwezi Novemba 2024 hadi asilimia 14.4 mwezi Septemba 20266. Kuanzia Septemba 2016 hadi Novemba 2019 ukomo wa kisheria ulizuia riba za mikopo kuzidi pointi nne za asilimia juu ya riba elekezi ya CBK4. Mikopo ya ndani kwa sekta binafsi ilikuwa asilimia 29.4 ya Pato la Taifa mwaka 202523.
Agricultural Finance Corporation (Shirika la Fedha za Kilimo, AFC), taasisi ya mikopo inayomilikiwa na Serikali yenye jukumu la kutoa mikopo kwa ajili ya maendeleo ya kilimo, ilikuwa na mikopo iliyopo ya shilingi bilioni 12.07 tarehe 30 Juni 2025, takriban dola za Marekani milioni 93.4 (ubadilishaji wetu), ikilinganishwa na shilingi bilioni 10.56 mwaka mmoja kabla243. Katika mwaka wa fedha 2024/25 ilitoa mikopo ya shilingi bilioni 4.75 na kukusanya shilingi bilioni 4.49, ilikuwa na matawi 47 katika kaunti 35 na ilipata faida kabla ya kodi ya shilingi milioni 88.1924. Mkaguzi Mkuu wa Hesabu za Serikali (Auditor-General) alitoa hati yenye shaka (qualified opinion) kuhusu hesabu zake za mwaka wa fedha 2024/25, akitaja mikopo chechefu ya muda wa kati ya shilingi milioni 1,024.2 na mikopo ya shilingi milioni 325.7 iliyoainishwa kuwa hai ambayo ilipaswa kuainishwa kuwa chechefu24. Sheria ya Mashirika Yanayomilikiwa na Serikali (Government Owned Enterprises Act) ya 2025 ilifuta Sheria ya AFC (AFC Act) kuanzia tarehe 5 Desemba 2025 na inaiorodhesha AFC miongoni mwa mashirika yatakayoundwa upya kuwa kampuni za umma zenye dhima ya kikomo25. Wakopeshaji wanaweza kuchukua dhamana ya mali zinazohamishika chini ya Sheria ya Haki za Dhamana juu ya Mali Zinazohamishika (Movable Property Security Rights Act) ya mwaka 2017, na pia kukopesha kwa dhamana ya stakabadhi za ghala2627.
| Kiashiria | Mwaka wa fedha 2023/24 | Mwaka wa fedha 2024/25 |
|---|---|---|
| Salio la mikopo tarehe 30 Juni (KSh bilioni) | 10.56 | 12.07 |
| Salio la mikopo tarehe 30 Juni 2025 (US$ milioni, ubadilishaji wetu kwa kiwango cha 129.2343) | β | 93.4 |
| Mikopo iliyotolewa (KSh bilioni) | 3.54 | 4.75 |
| Marejesho ya mikopo (KSh bilioni) | 4.46 | 4.49 |
| Jumla ya rasilimali (KSh bilioni) | 12.57 | 14.01 |
| Faida kabla ya kodi (KSh milioni) | 36.75 | 88.19 |
| Mikopo ya muda mfupi tarehe 30 Juni 2025 (KSh bilioni) | β | 0.96 |
| Mikopo ya muda wa kati tarehe 30 Juni 2025 (KSh bilioni) | β | 10.55 |
| Mikopo kwa wakurugenzi tarehe 30 Juni 2025 (KSh bilioni) | β | 0.06 |
| Mikopo kwa wafanyakazi tarehe 30 Juni 2025 (KSh bilioni) | β | 0.5 |
| Matawi (kaunti) | β | 47 (35) |
| Tarehe | Riba ya Banki Kuu (%) |
|---|---|
| 30 Mei 2022 | 7.50 |
| 29 Sep 2022 | 8.25 |
| 23 Nov 2022 | 8.75 |
| 29 Mac 2023 | 9.50 |
| 26 Jun 2023 | 10.50 |
| 5 Des 2023 | 12.50 |
| 6 Feb 2024 | 13.00 |
| 6 Ago 2024 | 12.75 |
| 8 Okt 2024 | 12.00 |
| 5 Des 2024 | 11.25 |
| 5 Feb 2025 | 10.75 |
| 8 Apr 2025 | 10.00 |
| 10 Jun 2025 | 9.75 |
| 12 Ago 2025 | 9.50 |
| 7 Okt 2025 | 9.25 |
| 9 Des 2025 | 9.00 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | 8.75 |
| 7 Okt 2026 (haikubadilishwa) | 8.75 |
| Riba (%) | Des 2021 | Des 2022 | Des 2023 | Des 2024 | Des 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riba ya Banki Kuu (CBR) | 7.00 | 8.75 | 12.50 | 11.25 | 9.00 |
| Hatipunguzo za Serikali za siku 91 (Treasury bill) | 7.26 | 9.33 | 15.70 | 10.32 | 7.78 |
| Riba ya mikopo baina ya benki | 5.10 | 5.39 | 11.65 | 11.45 | 9.08 |
| Mikopo na malipo ya awali ya benki za biashara (kiwango cha juu) | 12.16 | 12.67 | 14.63 | 16.89 | 14.82 |
| Wastani wa riba ya amana | 6.50 | 7.17 | 10.10 | 10.45 | 7.13 |
Fedha kwa simu za mkononi, huduma jumuishi za fedha na SACCO
Akaunti za fedha kwa simu za mkononi zilizosajiliwa ziliongezeka kutoka milioni 16.4 mwezi Desemba 2010 hadi milioni 89.5 mwezi Desemba 2025, na idadi ya mawakala hai iliongezeka hadi 473,53630. Utafiti wa FinAccess wa mwaka 2024 ulibaini kwamba asilimia 84.8 ya watu wazima walikuwa wakitumia huduma rasmi za fedha na asilimia 9.9 hawakuwa na huduma yoyote ya fedha, na Global Findex inaonyesha kwamba asilimia 90.1 ya watu wazima walikuwa na akaunti mwaka 20243132. Ukopaji kutoka vyanzo rasmi ni mdogo zaidi. Mwaka 2024 asilimia 12.6 ya watu wazima walikopa kutoka taasisi rasmi ya fedha na asilimia 32.4 kutoka kwa mtoa huduma za fedha kwa simu za mkononi8. CBK imekuwa ikitoa leseni kwa watoa huduma za mikopo ya kidijitali (Digital Credit Providers) tangu marekebisho ya mwaka 2021 ya Sheria ya Banki Kuu ya Kenya (CBK Act)3334.
Katika utafiti wa FinAccess wa mwaka 2024, chanzo kikuu cha fedha za kila siku za shughuli za kilimo kilikuwa mapato ya kilimo yaliyowekezwa tena (asilimia 49.3), na ukame ulitajwa kuwa changamoto kubwa zaidi katika kilimo (asilimia 19.2), ukifuatiwa na gharama kubwa za pembejeo (asilimia 17.3) na wadudu na magonjwa (asilimia 16.6)31. SACCO zinazodhibitiwa zilikuwa na mikopo ya shilingi bilioni 948.3 mwaka 20257.
| Mwaka | Mawakala hai | Akaunti zilizosajiliwa (milioni) | Fedha zilizowekwa na kutolewa kupitia mawakala mwezi Desemba (KSh bilioni) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 143,946 | 28.6 | 267.1 |
| 2018 | 205,745 | 47.7 | 367.8 |
| 2020 | 282,929 | 66.0 | 605.7 |
| 2022 | 317,983 | 73.1 | 708.1 |
| 2024 | 381,116 | 82.4 | 753.5 |
| 2025 | 473,536 | 89.5 | 722.5 |
| Agosti 2026 | 563,605 | 95.3 | 761.1 |
| Kiashiria | Thamani | Mwaka |
|---|---|---|
| Watu wazima wanaopata huduma rasmi za fedha (FinAccess, %) | 84.8 | 2024 |
| Watu wazima walio nje ya huduma za fedha (FinAccess, %) | 9.9 | 2024 |
| Umiliki wa akaunti, watu wazima (Findex, %) | 90.1 | 2024 |
| Waliokopa kutoka taasisi rasmi ya fedha (Findex, %) | 12.6 | 2024 |
| Waliokopa kutoka kwa mtoa huduma za fedha kwa simu za mkononi (Findex, %) | 32.4 | 2024 |
| Ugharamiaji wa shughuli za kila siku za kilimo kutokana na mapato ya shamba yaliyowekezwa upya (FinAccess, %) | 49.3 | 2024 |
| Watu wazima wanaotegemea hasa kilimo kwa maisha yao (FinAccess, %) | 17.9 | 2024 |
| Kiashiria | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasilimali | 807,109 | 890,300 | 971,955 | 1,076,151 | 1,209,550 |
| Mikopo na malipo ya awali | 608,750 | 680,351 | 758,565 | 845,113 | 948,306 |
| Amana (BOSA na FOSA) | 564,887 | 620,446 | 682,186 | 749,430 | 831,910 |
Bima na ugharamiaji wa vihatarishi
Kampuni za bima ziliandika ada za bima (gross premiums) za shilingi bilioni 464.7 mwaka 2025, takriban asilimia 2.6 ya Pato la Taifa, ambapo shilingi bilioni 229.3 zilikuwa za bima ya jumla (general insurance), kwa ukokotoaji wetu7. Sheria ya Bima (Insurance Act, Sura ya 487) inaanzisha Insurance Regulatory Authority (Mamlaka ya Udhibiti wa Bima, IRA)36. Ada za bima na fidia za bima ya kilimo hazionyeshwi kando katika takwimu rasmi ambazo ziliweza kupatikana mwezi Oktoba 2026. Mradi wa DRIVE wa Benki ya Dunia unawapatia wafugaji kifurushi cha huduma za akiba, bima na akaunti za kidijitali, na ulikuwa umewafikia wafugaji na wategemezi wao 1,520,550 nchini Kenya kufikia tarehe 10 Oktoba 202537. Mwaka 2018 Kenya pia ilichukua mkopo wa dharura wa dola za Marekani milioni 200 kwa ajili ya vihatarishi vya majanga38.
| Chombo | Mtoa huduma | Hali na takwimu |
|---|---|---|
| DRIVE, kifurushi cha huduma za fedha kwa wafugaji (akiba, bima, akaunti za kidijitali) | Mradi wa kikanda wa Benki ya Dunia P176517 | Wafugaji na wategemezi wao 1,520,550 walijumuishwa nchini Kenya hadi tarehe 10 Oktoba 2025, ikilinganishwa na lengo la 800,000, na 99% ya malipo ya fidia yalifanyika ndani ya siku 30 (mradi mzima) |
| Catastrophe Deferred Drawdown Option (mkopo wa dharura wa majanga unaotolewa janga linapotokea) | Benki ya Dunia (P161562) | US$ milioni 200, uliidhinishwa Juni 2018, ulifungwa Septemba 2021 |
| Kukabiliana na dharura ya nzige | Programu ya kikanda ya Benki ya Dunia P173702 | US$ milioni 195.6 kwa kanda nzima, iliidhinishwa Mei 2020 |
| Ada za bima ya kilimo na fidia | Insurance Regulatory Authority (Mamlaka ya Udhibiti wa Bima) | Hazikupatikana kutoka chanzo rasmi kinachofikika mwezi Oktoba 2026 |
Vyanzo vilivyorejelewa katika ukurasa huu
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2010 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2025 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- IMF, Exchange Rates (ER) dataset β Kenya, domestic currency per US$ (end of period and period average) β International Monetary Fund (IMF), Statistics Departmentkimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2019 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2024 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Monetary Policy Committee press release, meeting of 7 October 2026 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Economic Survey 2026 (PDF) β Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS)kimethibitishwa
- Global Findex database (source 28), borrowing indicators fin22a, fin22a_1 and fin22a.22a1.22g.d (% age 15+), World Bank API β World Bankkimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2011 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2012 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2013 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2014 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2015 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2016 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2017 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2018 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2020 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2021 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2022 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Bank Supervision Annual Report 2023 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- World Development Indicators β Agriculture, forestry and fishing, value added (% of GDP), NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS (API, JSON) β World Bankkimethibitishwa
- Central Bank Rate, history of MPC decisions (web page) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- World Development Indicators β Domestic credit to private sector (% of GDP), FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS (API, JSON) β World Bankkimethibitishwa
- Annual Reports and Financial Statements for the year ended 30 June 2025, with the Report of the Auditor-General (PDF, Parliament of Kenya library) β Agricultural Finance Corporation (AFC), tabled in Parliamentkimethibitishwa
- Government Owned Enterprises Act, No. 25 of 2025 (Kenya Law web page) β National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law)kimethibitishwa
- Movable Property Security Rights Act, No. 13 of 2017 (PDF on brs.go.ke) β National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law), hosted by the Business Registration Servicekimethibitishwa
- Warehouse receipt financing (web page) β Warehouse Receipt System Council (WRSC)kimethibitishwa
- About us (web page) β Warehouse Receipt System Council (WRSC)kimethibitishwa
- World Development Indicators β Lending interest rate (%), FR.INR.LEND (API, JSON) β World Bankkimethibitishwa
- Mobile payments statistics, monthly table (web page) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- 2024 FinAccess Household Survey, main report (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK), KNBS and FSD Kenyakimethibitishwa
- Global Findex: Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider (% of population ages 15+), FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS, World Bank API (Findex 2025 database) β World Bankkimethibitishwa
- Central Bank of Kenya Act, Cap. 491, consolidated text as at 4 November 2025 (PDF on centralbank.go.ke) β National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law), hosted by CBKkimethibitishwa
- Central Bank of Kenya (Digital Credit Providers) Regulations, 2022, Legal Notice No. 46, Kenya Gazette Supplement No. 45, 18 March 2022 (PDF) β Government Printer, hosted by CBKkimethibitishwa
- Who we are (web page) β Sacco Societies Regulatory Authority (SASRA)kimethibitishwa
- Insurance Act, Cap. 487 (Act No. 1 of 1985) (Kenya Law web page) β National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law)kimethibitishwa
- DRIVE (P176517) Implementation Status and Results Report, sequence 5, archived 9 February 2026 (text) β World Bankkimethibitishwa
- Disaster Risk Management Development Policy Credit with a Catastrophe Deferred Drawdown Option (Cat DDO), P161562, project page β World Bankkimethibitishwa
- Emergency Locust Response Program, P173702, project page β World Bankkimethibitishwa
- Guidance on Climate-Related Risk Management, October 2021 (PDF) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Kenya Green Finance Taxonomy, April 2025 (PDF in ZIP, main document and eleven sector appendices) β Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)kimethibitishwa
- Corporate profile (web page) β Agricultural Finance Corporation (AFC)kimethibitishwa
- Agricultural Finance Corporation Act, Cap. 323 (Kenya Law web page) β National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law)kimethibitishwa
- Sacco Societies Act, Cap. 490B (Act No. 14 of 2008) (Kenya Law web page) β National Council for Law Reporting (Kenya Law)kimethibitishwa
- Kenya country page (web page) β Green Climate Fundkimethibitishwa
- FP292 Scaling climate-smart solutions for hardest-to-reach MSMEs and farmers in Kenya (CST Facility), project page β Green Climate Fundkimethibitishwa
- Green Bonds (web page) β Nairobi Securities Exchange PLCkimethibitishwa
Kwa maelezo zaidi na maoni, tafadhali wasiliana na serkan.veziroglu@prosperaimpact.com.