Size and trend of bank lending
Banks held MNT 1.52 trillion of loans to agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting at the end of 2025, about US$427 million at the year-end exchange rate, and MNT 1.47 trillion in August 2026 (preliminary)12. The stock was MNT 141.8 billion in 2010 and MNT 504.1 billion in 2023, so it tripled in two years1. In dollars it grew from US$113 million in 2010 to US$427 million in 2025, as the togrog lost 65% of its value against the dollar over the period (own calculation)12. Crop farming accounted for MNT 938.1 billion and livestock enterprises for MNT 538.3 billion at the end of 20251. Farm loans are almost entirely in togrog1.
Most lending to individual herders is recorded separately. In May 2020 the Bank of Mongolia created a 'herder loan' category, which stood at MNT 1.29 trillion in August 2026 across 114,654 loan accounts13. Together, agriculture and herder loans were MNT 2.76 trillion, about US$768 million, or 5.7% of bank loans in August 2026 (own calculation)12. The agriculture sector alone accounted for 1.6–2.3% of bank loans in 2015–2023 and 3.0% in August 20261. Banks issued MNT 713.2 billion of new loans to agriculture and MNT 867.1 billion of herder loans in 20254.
| Indicator | Dec 2023 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2025 | Aug 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank loans to agriculture (MNT billion) | 504.1 | 1,206.5 | 1,518.6 | 1,470.6 |
| of which crop farming (MNT billion) | 399.6 | 846.5 | 938.1 | 951.5 |
| of which livestock (MNT billion) | 91.2 | 334.5 | 538.3 | 480.3 |
| of which under state or donor programmes (MNT billion) | 104.0 | 586.1 | 1,228.5 | 1,135.3 |
| Herder loans (MNT billion) | 1,207.5 | 1,291.0 | 1,067.1 | 1,290.5 |
| Agriculture, share of bank loans (%) | 1.86 | 3.28 | 3.47 | 3.04 |
| Agriculture and herder loans, share of bank loans (%) | 6.30 | 6.79 | 5.91 | 5.71 |
| Non-performing agricultural loans (% of agricultural loans) | 15.9 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| Rate on outstanding agricultural loans (%) | – | 7.87 | 8.66 | 12.73 |
| Rate on outstanding loans, all sectors (%) | – | 15.28 | 16.37 | 16.99 |
| NBFI loans to agriculture (MNT billion) | 34.5 | 62.4 | 74.3 | 81.3 (Jun) |
| Policy rate (%) | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12.5 |
The price of credit and the quality of loans
Market credit is expensive. The weighted average rate on new togrog loans was 17.27% in December 2025, excluding programme loans10. New herder loans carried 22.13% in December 2025, while new loans to the agriculture sector carried 9.17%, and 8.95% excluding programme loans5. On outstanding loans, agriculture carried 8.66% in December 2025 against 16.37% for all sectors5. The Bank of Mongolia raised its policy rate from 6% to 13% during 2022, cut it to 10% in 2024 and raised it to 12% in March 2025 and 12.5% in August 20261011.
The non-performing loan ratio in agriculture has fallen as lending has grown. Non-performing loans to the agriculture sector remained at MNT 72–80 billion from 2018 to 2026, mostly in crop farming, and their ratio fell from 26.0% in 2020 to 4.8% at the end of 2025 (own calculation)1. Non-performing herder loans were 1.8% of herder loans at the end of 20251. The headline banking NPL ratio on the IMF basis was 3.5% in 202512. After the 2023/24 dzud, the Bank of Mongolia approved a one-time restructuring and extension of herder loans, and the Ministry of Finance paid interest support on them13.
State programme lending
State programmes now finance most farm loans. The Bank of Mongolia reports loans 'implemented with projects or programmes', financed from state or donor funds. For agriculture these rose from MNT 104.0 billion at the end of 2023 to MNT 586.1 billion in 2024 and MNT 1.23 trillion in 2025, about US$345 million, or 81% of the sector's loans12. The number of programme-funded agricultural loans rose from 1,610 to 27,973 over the same period3.
Several programmes stand behind this growth. The 'Food Supply and Security' movement of June 2022 directs the Government to arrange MNT 1.7 trillion of financing for 2022–2026, about US$541 million at the 2022 average rate, through interest subsidies, guarantees and external loans162. The 'New Cooperative Movement' of April 2024 is a MNT 5 trillion plan, about US$1.47 billion at the 2024 average rate, under which the state pays the interest above 6 percentage points on loans of up to five years to cooperative member herders172. The Atar-4 crop campaign, approved in January 2025, runs for four years and provides concessional loans, with state interest support capped at the policy rate18. Official data on the amounts lent, the number of borrowers and the budget cost of these programmes were not found. The Credit Guarantee Fund provides guarantees of up to MNT 1.2 billion on food and agriculture loans at 5–6%19.
| Measure | Legal basis | Main terms |
|---|---|---|
| Concessional loans to hide and skin processors, with payments to herders | Parliament Resolution No. 74 of 28 Dec 2012 | MNT 140.4 billion of 5-year government securities to fund loans at no more than 7%, plus MNT 3,000 per small-stock skin and MNT 15,000 per cattle or horse hide paid to cooperative member herders21 |
| 'Food Supply and Security' national movement | Parliament Resolution No. 36 of 17 Jun 2022 | Directs the Government to arrange MNT 1.7 trillion of financing in 2022–2026 through interest subsidies, guarantees and external loans16 |
| 'New Cooperative Movement' | Government Resolution No. 166 of 24 Apr 2024 | MNT 5 trillion plan. The state pays the interest above 6 percentage points on loans of up to 5 years to cooperative member herders issued until 2029, with Credit Guarantee Fund guarantees17 |
| Atar-4 sustainable crop development campaign | Government Resolution No. 47 of 29 Jan 2025 | Four years from February 2025. Concessional loans from commercial bank funds to crop, livestock and food-processing producers, with state interest support capped at the policy rate18 |
| Credit guarantees for food and agriculture | Law on the Credit Guarantee Fund (2012) | Guarantees of up to MNT 1.2 billion on loans at 5–6% for up to 60 months1920 |
| Customs and VAT exemption for farm machinery and inputs | 2008 legislation, expired 31 Dec 2020 | Worth MNT 281 billion to crop producers over the period22 |
Non-bank lenders and cooperatives
Non-bank financial institutions lend little to agriculture. Their agricultural loans were MNT 74.3 billion at the end of 2025 and MNT 81.3 billion in June 2026, about 1% of their portfolio89. The Financial Regulatory Commission consolidated report covered 575 NBFIs at the end of 20258. Savings and credit cooperatives numbered 176 at the end of 2025, with 77,155 members and MNT 290.9 billion of loans, of which MNT 78.9 billion at 94 rural cooperatives23. In June 2026 there were 173 cooperatives, 93 of them rural, with 79,593 members24. Their lending by sector is not published. Account ownership is almost universal, at 98.3% of adults in 2024, and domestic credit to the private sector was 44.9% of GDP in 20242526.
| Indicator | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBFIs in the FRC consolidated report (end of year) | 534 | 513 | 529 | 573 | 575 |
| NBFI loans to agriculture issued in the year (MNT billion) | 21.7 | 36.0 | 33.4 | 68.8 | 63.2 |
| NBFI loans to agriculture outstanding (MNT billion) | 23.8 | 35.4 | 34.5 | 62.4 | 74.3 |
| Agriculture, share of NBFI loans (%) | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Savings and credit cooperatives | 209 | 196 | 191 | 178 | 176 |
| SCC members (thousand) | 75.4 | 71.7 | 72.5 | 75.3 | 77.2 |
Index-based livestock insurance
Mongolia has insured herders against dzud through an index rather than individual claims since a World Bank pilot began in 200530. The 2014 Law on Index-based Livestock Insurance makes cover voluntary and pays out when adult livestock mortality in the soum exceeds thresholds set by the Government, currently 5% and 30%31. Herders pay the premium for losses between the two thresholds, and losses above 30% are borne by the state-owned National Reinsurance JSC, whose reinsurance premium the Government budgets3132. In 2025 insurers wrote 2,555 contracts with MNT 3.18 billion of gross premium, and brokers sold 19,350 individual contracts33. After the 2023/24 dzud the reinsurer paid MNT 14.6 billion of claims in 2024, 92% of all its claims that year33. A parliamentary cost assessment of a draft amendment reports that the average premium per insured herder household rose from MNT 98,409 in 2014 to MNT 174,023 in 2024, for an average of 205 insured animals per household in 202434. The total number of herders and animals insured is not published in the Financial Regulatory Commission reports. Insurance premiums of all types equalled 0.66% of GDP in 2025, and no crop insurance premium was recorded33.
| Indicator | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contracts written by direct insurers | 4,840 | 3,420 | 2,555 |
| Gross premium of direct insurers (MNT million) | 1,591.8 | 733.5 | 3,175.6 |
| Claims paid by direct insurers (MNT million) | 451.0 | 97.8 | 0.9 |
| Individual contracts sold through brokers | 31,345 | 16,233 | 19,350 |
| Premium sold through brokers (MNT million) | 4,091.8 | 2,575.2 | 3,256.0 |
| Reinsurance premium for IBLI, National Reinsurance JSC (MNT million) | 102.6 | 1,404.6 | 1,740.7 |
| IBLI claims paid by the reinsurer (MNT million) | 0.0 | 14,580.7 | 0.0 |
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For more information and suggestions, please contact serkan.veziroglu@prosperaimpact.com.